Coming from Encounter Books in November 2018: Pre-order Now
“Oren Cass is among the smartest, most thoughtful policy thinkers in America today."
― J.D. Vance, author of Hillbilly Elegy
“. . . an unflinching indictment of the mistakes that Washington has made for a generation and continues to make . . . forcefully draws out the contradictions of a consensus that has actively displaced Americans from their national inheritance of good jobs and thriving hometowns.”
― Senator Marco Rubio (R-FL)
“Oren Cass has written the essential policy book for our time . . . A must-read.”
― Yuval Levin, editor of National Affairs
Reckoning with the Robots
This question of replacement versus augmentation is central to the future of work because of its implications for not only the predicted rate of change, but also the continued relevance of less-skilled workers. If firms need workers to make new technology function, then they can deploy it only as fast as they can train workers to use it. Firms thus remain constrained in their process improvements—automation included—by the supply of labor that actually exists and its ability to absorb change. That constraint may help to explain why productivity growth has been stalling, not accelerating.
Is Technology Destroying the Labor Market?
If automation were rendering workers obsolete, we would see evidence in rising productivity, major capital investments, and a shift in the ratio of production workers to managerial workers. None of these things has occurred. If technology could render workers obsolete, the radical advancements of past generations should have done it. They did not. If this time is different, we should find evidence that a large share of current workers are uniquely vulnerable to the particular set of technologies on the horizon. We do not.
Wall Street Journal, 3/17/18
On universal basic income
Evidence Squared (1 and 2), June 2017
On climate communication
WNYC w/ Brian Lehrer, 3/9/17
On replacing Obamacare
Harvard Kennedy School, 2/22/17
On the future of conservatism
Matter of Fact, 1/22/17
On the Trump administration
WNYC w/ Brian Lehrer, 10/28/16
On the 2016 election (second hour)
National Review Institute, 10/17/16
On the wisdom of free trade
Senate Energy Comm, 4/26/16
On oil & gas development
CSPAN Washington Journal, 11/29/15
On the Paris climate negotiations
NPR On Point, 8/4/15
On the Clean Power Plan (second half)